Both Canada and USA claim Ukraine plane shot down by Iranian missile
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says he believes the intelligence reports show that an Iranian missile is responsible for the crash of a Ukrainian jet that held 176 people onboard and left no survivors.
Trudeau also stated that even though he believes the intelligence seems accurate, that there should still be a "full and credible" investigation into the matter. This is likely to ensure there is solid evidence supporting the claim.
Officials from the Pentagon also issued a statement that they believe the plane was downed by Iran as well.
Several speculations and theories are being discussed heavily on social media, such as Iran taking out the plane by mistake, or on purpose.
If the Iranian missile did take down the Boeing 737, then it's possible it was actually a mistake. Whomever fired it may have mistaken the Ukranian plane for someone in the United States and could have theoretically thought it was an incoming air strike. Another wild theory says that Iranians wanted someone on the plane deceased, so they took it down on purpose under the guise of calling it an "accident."
Or, perhaps the missiles used were heat seeking and made a mistake there. Of course, there are numerous theories, but they all remain speculation until after the facts are revealed.
Until the facts of a thorough investigation are revealed, we only have information and statements from officials to rely on.
This article from USA Today covered Trudeau:
Earlier Thursday, a U.S. official not authorized to speak publicly had confirmed to USA TODAY that a missile appeared to be the likely cause of the plane crash.
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The confirmation came after a London-based global information firm reported Thursday that the plane, carrying 176 passengers and crew, likely was mistakenly shot down by an Iranian missile. No one survived the crash.
"Photographs purportedly taken near the site of the crash and circulated on social media appear to show the guidance section of an SA-15 Gauntlet short-range, surface to air missile, which landed in a nearby garden," the firm IHS Markit said in its report.
The firm said it could not confirm the authenticity of the photos but "assesses them to be credible."
As for the United States Pentagon, their statement was given to Fox News, who posted the following:
The Ukrainian passenger plane that crashed shortly after taking off from Tehran’s international airport Wednesday was shot down by mistake by an Iranian anti-aircraft missile, Pentagon officials told Fox News.
Officials said U.S. intelligence increasingly points at the airliner being accidentally struck by a Russian-made missile, killing all 176 people on board the flight, just hours after Iran fired more than a dozen ballistic missiles targeting two military bases housing American and coalition troops.
"An absolute tragedy," one U.S. official told Fox News. "They just screwed up and it is tragic."
As expected, Iran would suggest this did not happen. An Iranian official said it was not possible.
As stated on Business Insider, "an Iranian aviation official said it's "scientifically impossible" that one of their defense missiles hit the plane because it was flying at an elevation of 8,000 feet, the Fars News Agency reported."
Except there's just one thing. It appears that the Iranian official might have slipped.
Business Insider's article mentioned one key fact:
However, that would make it well within the range of the 29 Tor M1 missile defense batteries that Iran purchased from Russia in 2005, which can hit targets of up to 20,000 feet in altitude.
So now it does appear highly possible that Iran shot down a passenger plane.
If it was by accident or on purpose - no one knows.
Investigations will continue.